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BY JOE ASHDOWN Yet this season promises the very prospect of a title race that could go right to the wire with Manchester United and Chelsea locked together on 84 points with only United’s vastly superior goal difference edging them in front. United are this season’s thoroughbreds, unquestionably the class horse in the field but Chelsea have showed they have staying power and have capitalised on some dropped points from their title rivals in recent weeks. To continue the horse racing analogy, Manchester United are Crisp miles clear coming up The Elbow but beginning to tire while Chelsea are the Red Rum of the piece, staying on with a late burst and they are now neck and neck as they rush for the line. Can United keep their noses in front or will they run out of steam?The title picture is pretty clear. A Manchester United victory will see them retain their title and seal their tenth Premier League crown under Sir Alex Ferguson’s stewardship and their seventeenth league title in total, putting them just one behind Liverpool’s record haul.
Barring a 23-0 win for Chelsea at Stamford Bridge against Bolton this would put the Red Devils in an unassailable position. Anything less than a victory for United at the JJB Stadium against Wigan Athletic combined with a victory for Avram Grant’s men will see the Blues lift their third Premier League title in four seasons and in doing so, lift their first trophy in the post-Mourinho era. |
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Meanwhile at the bottom end of the league, the battle for retaining a place at the Premier League’s top table and the significant riches associated with it goes right to the wire with two from three teams to fall to the Championship and replace trips to Old Trafford and Anfield with trips to Bloomfield Road and Home Park for next season. Fulham find themselves in the enviable but somewhat surprising position of having their survival in their own hands and a win at Portsmouth will ensure their safety and deem Reading’s result at hapless Derby and Birmingham’s result at home to Blackburn completely irrelevant. Unless Bolton were to fall to a 23-0 defeat at Stamford Bridge, their goal difference will ensure they are safe even in the event of Fulham and Reading both winning.
So let us start at the JJB Stadium. If you believe some of the popular press and some high profile pundits, a victory in this match for Manchester United is a formality. After all, Wigan’s win at Aston Villa last week ensures they avoid the last day relegation fears they had last season, around 20,000 United supporters are expected to make the 25 mile pilgrimage to the match (or more if the supporters revert to the popular stereotype) ensuring that the occasion will feel more like a home match and to top it all, their opponents are managed by a Manchester United legend and good friend of Sir Alex Ferguson’s, Steve Bruce. Surely Wigan’s manager with the battered proboscis could not incur the wrath of his mentor?Manchester United are certainly strong favourites to win this match but Steve Bruce is far too fierce a competitor to send a team out to lie down and die. He will surely harbour aspirations to manage his old club one day and there will be no better way of getting himself noticed than to prepare his team and send them out to deny United a victory in a match of this magnitude. Victory for Manchester United will certainly have to be earned.
There are a few other factors to consider which may suggest the outcome of this match is not as clear cut as it might first appear. Wigan are unbeaten in their last seven matches at the JJB Stadium, a major reason for their resurgence under Steve Bruce’s tenure. In contrast, during the past two months Manchester United’s form on their travels has been ropey. Since a 3-0 win at Fulham on the opening weekend of March, their travels on Premier League duty has seen them take 75 minutes to break down a Derby side that has conceded over 80 goals this season, grab late equalisers at Middlesbrough and Blackburn and concede a late penalty to lose at Stamford Bridge.While Manchester United have a perfect record of six victories out of six in their previous head-to-heads against Wigan, they have had to work hard for victory in their two previous visits to the JJB Stadium. Indeed, in both matches, Wigan scored the first goal and preserved their lead until half time. United did go on to win both matches as Wigan tired, although in the first of these matches, a late own goal handed United victory which they barely merited on the night.
They also come into the match with doubts over key personnel with commanding centre back Nemanja Vidic and the ever grafting Wayne Rooney both struggling to return to fitness in time. Rooney’s absence will obviously be a loss but United can at least replace him with a player of high quality in Carlos Tevez, they should be more concerned about Vidic not being ready in time. His central defensive axis with Rio Ferdinand is the best defensive partnership United have had since Sunday’s opposition manager was paired with Gary Pallister in the Premier League’s early years and a big reason for United’s success in the past two seasons.Wigan have some strong players in their ranks and their directness makes them a difficult outfit to play against. Emile Heskey has enjoyed a decent season having been reunited with his former manager from his Birmingham days and if he shows his battering ram tendencies, it could be an uncomfortable afternoon for United supporters, particularly if Wes Brown is in opposition rather than Vidic.
But Wigan are no one man team. There has been recent talk that United are pursuing Wigan forward Nuno Valencia as a summer signing while Honduran midfielder Wilson Palacios has been one of the Premier League’s most unheralded heroes of the season. United must also be wary of the threat Austrian centre back Paul Scharner offers from set pieces and should be careful not to concede too many free kicks near to their own penalty box.There has been talk that Wigan’s biggest threat could come in the form of a twelfth man for them, namely their infamous quagmire of a pitch.
When Arsenal drew 0-0 at the JJB back in March, Arsene Wenger bemoaned the pitch and branded it "a disaster". If it is in a similar state come Sunday afternoon then it will not be conducive to Manchester United’s passing game. However, Wigan have recently had the pitch relaid and the recent sunny weather should ensure that whatever the outcome of this match ends up being, the state of the pitch should not feature heavily in the after-match post-mortems.If Wigan were to follow the trend of the past two seasons and score the first goal in this fixture, then it is conceivable that they could make Manchester United’s afternoon an uncomfortable one. The visitors are the highest scorers in the league this season but as was mentioned earlier, they have found their free scoring ways harder to come by on the road of late.
As ever, they will be relying on Cristiano Ronaldo to lead the way. The Portuguese winger looks the heir apparent so far as the World Player of the Year is concerned having scored 41 goals this season, 30 of which have been in the Premier League. If United win this match and thereby seal their title, you somehow expect he will be on the score sheet and it would certainly be fitting if he was.
The main factor that tilts the scales in Manchester United’s favour is that Ferguson and his squad have been in this position and some of the older players in the squad such as Paul Scholes and Ryan Giggs will recall previous failures that made the team stronger, such as their agonising failure to overhaul West Ham on the last day of the 1994/95 season, meaning Blackburn won the title despite losing at Anfield on the final day.
Scholes will be a key player in this match, the old head who United can turn to for guidance while Ryan Giggs is likely to equal Bobby Charlton’s Manchester United appearance record at some point during the match given Nani’s suspension after his senseless head butt on Lucas Neill last weekend.Manchester United supporters of long standing have plenty of confidence in their team’s ability and experience but they are also conscious of their team’s great knack in make life difficult for themselves on the way to achieving their success.
Therefore, I expect this will be a nail biting match and there will be a period of time on Sunday afternoon where Chelsea find themselves winning the Premier League title. However, I expect United to have too much quality in the final third of the pitch for Wigan to withstand the pressure and buoyed by the partisan travelling support, I predict Sir Alex Ferguson’s team to win Premier League title number ten with a 2-1 victory.Down at Stamford Bridge, Chelsea will feel they have the momentum and that they have the easier part of the bargain. All they can do is win their match, they cannot control what happens in deepest Lancashire. The fact that the West Londoners have taken the title to the final day of the season, however, is a remarkable achievement given that it was only seven weeks ago that most observers imagined they were playing for third place while Manchester United and Arsenal would slug it out for the main prize.
But the final twenty minutes of Chelsea’s match against Arsenal on Easter Sunday has been proven to be the catalyst in their resurgence and their only dropped points since that match came when Emile Heskey scored an injury time equaliser for Wigan at Stamford Bridge, making Chelsea pay for sitting on their 1-0 lead when they could and should have put the game to bed. Avram Grant has attracted much criticism from both Chelsea supporters and the press, but it is worth remembering that it was his double substitution that turned the match against Arsenal and with it, Chelsea’s season.Chelsea have not been fluent consistently this season but they are like a machine in grinding out victories. They have lost three matches over the course of the league campaign, but two of those defeats came in their first six matches of the season and since losing at the Emirates Stadium in December, they are unbeaten in league combat. The loss of Didier Drogba and John Terry for a fair part of the campaign and the loss of further players to the African Nations Cup did not help their cause, but with Drogba restored to fitness and all of Chelsea’s big hitters available again, Grant’s team have embarked on an excellent run of form at just the right time.
While Drogba remains the talisman in the way Chelsea are set up to play, some other key players have risen to prominence of late. In particular, I believe it is no coincidence that Chelsea’s form has hit a noticeably upward curve since Michael Essien returned to the side. Essien was suspended the last time Chelsea lost a Premier League match and he missed around two months of Chelsea’s campaign to suspension and African Cup of Nations duty. But since his return in February, the Ghanaian midfielder has been in commanding form, dominating the Chelsea midfielder and contributing goals along the way, including a vital winner at Everton last month.
Essien’s midfield colleague Michael Ballack has also been a major contributor in the Chelsea renaissance. Ballack had a poor first season at Stamford Bridge after signing from Bayern Munich but this season his stock has risen and he has demonstrated the big match quality he has shown so often for his country in clawing Chelsea back into the title hunt. Goalscoring midfielders are a priceless commodity for any team as Frank Lampard has demonstrated for Chelsea over the years, but as Lampard’s stock has lowered, so Ballack’s has rocketed and his double against Manchester United and vital breakthrough header against Newcastle have been significant contributions to Chelsea’s title challenge.
The one injury doubt to give Chelsea cause for concern ahead of Sunday’s crunch match is with regards to Ricardo Carvalho. Back in 2004, some questioned the value in Jose Mourinho signing his old lieutenant from Porto for £19 million when at the time he had what many considered to be the best central defensive partnership in England in the form of John Terry and William Gallas. Yet, Carvalho has justified his transfer fee ten fold in the past four seasons and with Gallas gone and Terry more injury prone than back then, Carvalho has become Chelsea’s defensive rock and this season he has been to this observer at least, Chelsea’s player of the season. Should he be absent today, that would be a real blow to the Blues although given the paucity of firepower in Bolton’s attack, unlikely to be a fatal one.
Bolton have got back to basics since Gary Megson took the reins at the Reebok Stadium last autumn. Megson’s team, like Megson himself, would not win any awards for aesthetics, but they have rediscovered the spirit and ugliness that saw them punch above their weight for several seasons under Sam Allardyce’s guidance. It is some achievement that Wanderers are, to all intents and purposes, safe going into the final match given that when Megson took over, they found themselves cast adrift at the bottom of the table. The Reebok Stadium has become a fortress for them again despite the team being short of goals with Nicolas Anelka having departed for their final day opponents in January and El Hadji Diouf only showing fleeting glimpses of his talents.
Bolton delivered a dent to Chelsea’s title hopes on this ground last season when, in Sam Allardyce’s final game in charge, they came here with an injury ravaged team and snatched an unlikely 2-2 draw. They do not have the worst of records at Stamford Bridge having also achieved the same score there in Jose Mourinho’s first season and a 2-1 victory the season prior to that. A repeat this time around though would seem extremely unlikely, however, given that Bolton have less to play for and given that it is hard to see where Bolton’s goals will come from.
Sometimes Chelsea struggle more when playing against opposition they are expected to beat and they can sometimes struggle when they are forced to take the initiative and take the match to their opponents. However, the importance of the occasion will ensure that Chelsea do not have any problems against Bolton and with Bolton likely to be short of intensity, I can only see Chelsea prevailing in this match by a minimum of two clear goals. It will all be deemed irrelevant though if Manchester United win at Wigan.


